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COT signals

Automatic reads of the COT data that compare current positioning with the last three years.

Updated 1 min read

Where: Markets → COT → Single → bottom of the page

Read the signals

  1. Open COT and pick an instrument in Single.
  2. Scroll to the bottom of the page.
  3. Read Historical context: the last time positioning was at this level, and what happened four weeks later.
  4. Read the three cards: Positioning Signal, Risk Context and Historical Extremes.

The reads use the 3-year percentile, from 0 to 100. Above 90 or below 10 counts as an extreme. Between 20 and 80 is neutral.

Risk Context looks at open interest: rising means new money is coming in; falling means positions are closing.

What's on the screen

Historical context and three signal cards for gold
The automatic reads at the bottom of the COT page.
  1. Historical context: what happened last time at this percentile.
  2. 4 weeks later: the net move four weeks after that week.
  3. Positioning Signal: an automatic read of the current positioning.
  4. Risk Context: how crowded the trade looks right now.
  5. Historical Extremes: Extreme, Elevated or Neutral versus three years.
  6. Past behavior; not a forecast.: history, not a prediction.

These reads describe the data. They are not trading advice or price forecasts.

FAQ

Why is Historical context missing?

It needs at least 30 weeks of data for that instrument.

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